A Study on the Relationship between Civil Automobile Consumption and Real Estate in China

Abstract

Since the reform and opening up, China’s economy has been booming, especially the real estate industry and the automobile industry, which have become the first and second pillar industries of China’s economy in recent years. Different scholars have studied the impact of the real estate, residential and automotive sectors on other consumption and have different attitudes. However, few studies have analyzed the relationship between the two, and it is impossible to know the specific relationship between them. Therefore, this paper first puts forward a new theoretical hypothesis for the interaction between the two, then uses Eviews7.2 as the main data processing tool, and uses the cointegration test and the Granger causality test to conduct an empirical analysis of the annual number of new registered civil vehicles and the annual real estate and residential development investment amount in China from 2002 to 2022. The results show a long-term and stable equilibrium relationship between civil automobile consumption and the real estate and residential industry and that civil automobile consumption is a one-way Granger reason for the development of the real estate and residential industry, which is in line with one of the hypotheses. Finally, based on the conclusion, this paper proposes policy suggestions to promote real estate development through automobile consumption.